Nobody Understands What a Popular Vote Presidential Election Would Mean

Interesting article about the electoral college.

“Republicans and Democrats have both decried the Electoral College — and they’re both opportunistic.”

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/442231/popular-vote-hillary-didnt-really-win-it?utm_campaign=trueAnthem%3A+Trending+Content&utm_content=582cecae04d30177e5119b52&utm_medium=trueAnthem&utm_source=twitter

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Presidential Nominations

screen-shot-2016-11-18-at-10-49-58-amOne of the most important powers and responsibilities of the President is the ability to nominate people for thousands of jobs in the Federal government. Not all of these require the confirmation of the Senate but (as the table below shows) over one thousand do.

Since the election, news headlines have been dominated by speculation about who will fill the various leadership roles and cabinet positions that will become vacant with a new administration.

Remember that the President is really the head of a vast bureaucracy of the executive branch of the Federal government. The President sets the tone and priorities of the executive branch and its agencies but ultimately it is up to the thousands of executive branch employees to carry them out. Who they are ultimately shapes the way their jobs get done.

So far Donald Trump has nominated:

  • Jeff Sessions (R Senator from Arizona) to be Attorney General
  • Kansas Republican Rep. Mike Pompeo for CIA Chief
  • Former General Michael Flynn for National Security Advisor

Each of the above positions needs to be confirmed by the Senate with a simple majority vote. There are many rumors about other positions but nothing official just yet.

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/14/opinion/donald-trump-is-now-hiring.html

 

 

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Homework 11/22

10b
1. Finish reading, annotating, and answering questions on the Morse vs. Frederick Supreme Court case packet. All questions should be completely answered.

Morse vs Frederick Complete

10a and 10c
1. Finish reading, the first two parts of the Morse vs. Frederick Supreme Court case (that’s pages 1-4 that ends with the section “Reasoning”) and answer the first question that appears after “Reasoning”: Answer: How did the Justices use the two cases we have studied so far (Tinker and Fraser) to make a decision in this case?

Don’t read into the Supreme Court Justices’ opinions on the case. We’ll work on that together tomorrow.

Morse vs Frederick Complete

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Homework 11/17, 11/18

Complete part 2 of your Virginia NRA t shirt case. Make sure you do a thorough job on discussing your opinion and make sure you follow directions. I will collect and grade this assignment.

If the assignment is submitted late and it is perfect, it cannot receive a grade higher than a 3. I will not accept it after Wednesday.

West Virginia NRA T Shirt Case

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Blue Feed, Red Feed See Liberal Facebook and Conservative Facebook, Side by Side

Screen Shot 2016-11-15 at 10.52.27 AM.pngAn interesting piece from the Wall Street Journal in which you can compare the kinds of articles you see if your friends are mostly sharing news from conservative or liberal sites. Consider what the effect is of being bombarded by one set of stories rather than the other. How would that paint your perspective of events and issues? Furthermore, what does that do for your ability to understand what other people are thinking? To some degree we choose these bubbles we live in and to some degree that are imposed on us by the technology we interact with.

Though I read a variety of news sources (including many of the “alt-right” news sources promoting Donald Turmp’s message), of the few hundred “friends” I have on facebook more than a hundred “like” Hillary Clinton on facebook and only two “like” Donald Trump. These are people who I went to high school, college, and grad school with. People I worked with and former students. Despite the variety of sources of people, overwhelmingly, I see people sharing and discussing similar opinions and world views. To some degree this is the result of geography (growing up, living and working in New York), and profession (teachers tend to be Democrats).

When people interact with information on social media, generally speaking, they are bombarded with messages from people who have similar views and this results in a very distorted sense of what people in general think or what people “on the other side” think. People are more certain of the “truth” of their beliefs and more certain of the absurdity of others. I know that none of this is in any way new information but it is still important to reflect on.

http://graphics.wsj.com/blue-feed-red-feed/#/trump

Here is an article from the New York Times, that discusses the issue of “fake news” along with the idea of the “echo chamber” in which we only hear opinions we agree with.

Here is a TED talk from 2011 about this very topic. More relevant now than ever.

 

 

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Homework 11/14

  1. Finish reading and answering the questions on Document 2: Supreme Court Case Tinker vs Des Moines (1969). Don’t work on document #3 just yet.

student-rights-packet

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Some thoughts on the election

I wanted to share some thoughts I had about this election. This is a scattered bunch of ideas but I figured they would be more coherent written down than if I spoke them. I don’t want to spend time repeating or rehashing what has already been said about Donald Trump, his message or his campaign but I wanted to share with you some of the thoughts I’ve had through this election cycle and over the past couple of days. We talked about some of these issues in class so I apologize for any repetition.

Why were polls, predictions, and statistical models wrong?

Most models rely on a very crucial assumption: that we can make predictions about the future based on understanding what happened in the past. Generally speaking this works as long as the future continues to operate relatively similarly to the past. Each election cycle, polls and models are updated to anticipate changes but every so often, major things change and old models prove to be wrong and have to be reevaluated and changed or thrown out.

When it comes to elections, how can you predict what a diverse group of over 100,000,000 people will do on a particular day? You have to create models that collect ton of data over a long period and find ways to interpret that information. You have to Continue reading

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Electoral College Essay Information

Due Thursday November 3rd: Completed Essay Planning Pages

Due Friday November 4th: One completed body paragraph

Essay Due: November 9th (10B) or 10th (10A and 10C)

Essay Materials

Essay assignment

Essay planning pages

Body paragraph checklist

Final thoughts electoral college

Resources

10 Arguments in Favor of the Electoral College

Problems with the electoral college

Why do we have the electoral college?

http://www.270towin.com/  (you can use this site to find historical election maps and data to help support your ideas)

 

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Videos about whether to keep the electoral college

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Homework 10/24

10A and 10C

Complete the “Problems with the electoral college” handout we worked on in class.

10B

Finish Documents 1-5 on the “Problems with the electoral college” handout we worked on in class.

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